Would You Base National Energy Policy On This Climate Information? By Tim Ball
- 2015-11-01
- By admin
- Posted in Latest News
Every country, including Canada, has based their climate and energy policy on the Reports of the United Nations (UN) Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The most influential Report to establish global warming as a serious public issue appeared in 2001. It contained the infamous “hockey stick” that Richard Muller called, “the poster-child of the global warming community.” Despite the certainty with which the hockey stick was promoted that showed no warming for a few hundred years then a sudden upturn in the 20th century, the accompanying but separate Physical Science Basis Report, contained the following.
“In climate research and modeling, we should recognize that we are dealing with a coupled non-linear chaotic system, and therefore that the long-term prediction of future climate states is not possible.”
That statement alone disqualifies the IPCC work as the basis for public policy. However, the statement does not appear in the Summary for Policymakers (SPM). It is a document designed to influence public policy and differs remarkably in a multitude of ways, both in inclusions, omissions, and emphasis. The SPM is written by a separate select group of politicians and bureaucrats and released at a world press conference. The separation is done deliberately to make it virtually the sole source of information for the media and the public.
A few months after they release the SPM, the Physical Science Basis Report is released with no fanfare. By that time, the certainty and alarmist perspectives of the SPM are entrenched in the political and public minds. Those controlling the IPCC know that very few people will read the Science Report and even if they do they will not understand. The few that do understand and point out the problems, like me, are easily marginalized as skeptics or deniers or worse, in the pay of “big oil”.
There are many things wrong with the hockey stick, but just a couple of points will illustrate how it is completely false. The yellow highlighted “handle” is the temperature produced from tree rings, but they are a function of precipitation. Everyone knows that water is far more important for tree growth. The red portion, the “Blade”, is the 20th-century instrumental record, incorrectly tacked on. But that is only part of its problem. It was tacked on because the tree ring graph started to decline. They couldn’t allow this as it contradicted their claim that temperatures were increasing due to increased human CO2 production. The phrases used in emails leaked from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU) at the University of East Anglia, which was where the hockey stick was created, tell the story. They talk about “hiding the decline” that is covering up the decline tree ring record. Then they carried out Mike’s Nature Trick, which is the reference to tacking on the instrumental record as he had done in a paper published in the scientific journal Nature.
The blade of the stick blade came from instrumental temperatures from the work of Phil Jones, Director of the CRU. The 2001 IPCC SPM claimed it was very likely (90–99% chance) that temperature
Increased by 0.6±0.2°C over the 20th century; land areas warmed more than the oceans.
They claimed that the 0.6°C increase was larger than any in the climate record and, therefore, must be caused by human additions of CO2. That is simply not correct, but we can’t confirm the claim because a request from Australian researcher Warwick Hughes for the data elicited this response.
We have 25 or so years invested in the work. Why should I make the data available to you, when your aim is to try and find something wrong with it. (Jones’ reply to Warwick Hughes, 21. February 2005)
Later when pushed through Freedom of Information requests Jones announced he had lost the data. Regardless of that, most people missed the fact that the error range of his results ± 0.2°C or ±33%. The numbers are meaningless, but achieved their political objective. Ask yourself, would a media outlet use results from a political poll with such an error range?
Deliberate disconnect between the Summary for Policymakers (SPM) and the Science Report, The Physical Science Basis, has convinced mainstream media and politicians that global warming is a problem. They didn’t even catch on when the fundamental assumptions of their science that increasing CO2 would cause increasing temperature was contradicted. From 1998 on global temperatures stopped increasing but CO2 levels continued to increase. Instead of revisiting their science they simply changed the terminology, global warming became climate change and skeptics became deniers. The greatest deception in history continues apace and lies, misinformation and eco-threats will reach a crescendo for the November 2015 Climate Conference in Paris.
Search:
Categories
Archives
- January 2024
- December 2023
- November 2023
- August 2023
- July 2023
- June 2023
- May 2023
- April 2023
- March 2023
- February 2023
- January 2023
- December 2022
- November 2022
- October 2022
- September 2022
- August 2022
- July 2022
- June 2022
- May 2022
- April 2022
- March 2022
- February 2022
- January 2022
- December 2021
- November 2021
- October 2021
- September 2021
- August 2021
- July 2021
- June 2021
- May 2021
- April 2021
- March 2021
- February 2021
- January 2021
- December 2020
- November 2020
- October 2020
- September 2020
- August 2020
- July 2020
- June 2020
- May 2020
- April 2020
- March 2020
- February 2020
- January 2020
- December 2019
- November 2019
- October 2019
- September 2019
- August 2019
- July 2019
- June 2019
- May 2019
- April 2019
- March 2019
- February 2019
- January 2019
- December 2018
- November 2018
- October 2018
- September 2018
- August 2018
- July 2018
- June 2018
- May 2018
- April 2018
- March 2018
- February 2018
- January 2018
- December 2017
- November 2017
- October 2017
- September 2017
- August 2017
- July 2017
- June 2017
- May 2017
- April 2017
- March 2017
- February 2017
- January 2017
- December 2016
- November 2016
- October 2016
- September 2016
- August 2016
- July 2016
- June 2016
- May 2016
- April 2016
- March 2016
- February 2016
- January 2016
- December 2015
- November 2015
- October 2015
- September 2015
- August 2015
- July 2015
- June 2015
- May 2015
- April 2015
- March 2015
- February 2015
- January 2015
- December 2014
- November 2014
- October 2014
- September 2014
- August 2014
- July 2014
- June 2014
- May 2014
- April 2014
- March 2014
- February 2014
- January 2014
- December 2013
- November 2013
- October 2013
- September 2013
- August 2013
- June 2013
- April 2013
- October 2012
- May 2012
- September 2011